Why are there outliers

Outliers in cycling races

Escape from the main draw with the option to win

The outlier is a professional cyclist who chooses to flee from the main field in road races in order to increase his chances of winning. If he drives alone, then the name of the outlier remains, if he has escapes, then one speaks of an outlier group, i.e. a group of drivers (at least two) who have a common interest in hurrying away from the main field, to perhaps one Having a chance to win the stage or the one-day race.

Outliers: Escape from the main field

There are different categories of outliers. It is usually understood as a professional cyclist who tries his luck early in the race, although there are those who try this once in the course of a tour and others who attack practically every day and annoy the teams in the peloton quite a bit because they do it again every day need to catch up. There are also teams that specialize in attacking from the main field.

These are mainly teams that either have no one for the sprint and the overall standings with promising chances or that have been invited. Some teams would not even be eligible to participate - for example the Tour de France - but are invited and want to use this opportunity to present themselves and also provide evidence that the invitation was justified. Their drivers are particularly keen to become part of escape groups and often practice breaking away.

You could also choose "to flee" as a formulation, but everything is said with outliers and cycling fans know that there is another escape that should occupy the main field, because there are teams with different interests. Especially on flat stages with an expected sprint, the sprinter teams have to catch the refugees again and that can become a problem with daily speed work.

The main field usually wins, so outliers rarely

In general, however, the outliers have bad cards. This has increased since the radio was around because the team managers can tell their drivers very precisely how big the gap is and how fast they have to drive in order to catch up with them in time before the finish. The escape groups rarely get through, so the chance of victory is manageable.

But it also depends on the racing situation or the race in general. In a one-day race you hardly have a chance because the sprinters absolutely want to race for victory. With a stage, i.e. a round trip, it can happen that you let the group drive away because you are tired yourself. There are stages like this in the Tour de France, for example, when many sprints have been done after the first week and everyone is tired after the first mountain stages. Then an escape group can also achieve a large lead because the sprinter teams themselves no longer have the energy to close the hole.

Another situation is given when there are well-known roles in the group who have the necessary speed. They can support each other in such a way that it becomes difficult for the peloton to compensate for the deficit. Then the outliers also have a good chance of winning among themselves. But mostly the main field wins, you are too strong together against the tired outliers, at the same time the goal of all sprinters in the field is the same.